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Meteorology 415 Contest 2 Nassau, bahamas October 25, 2012

Fall 2012. Meteorology 415 Contest 2 Nassau, bahamas October 25, 2012. Nassau, BI. Population - 2010 estimate 353,658[5] (177th) - 1990 census 254,685 - Density 23.27/km2 (181st) 60/sq mi. OBS - Nassau. MYNN 251800Z 03017KT 9999 -RA SCT010 BKN035 OVC080 25/24 A2949=

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Meteorology 415 Contest 2 Nassau, bahamas October 25, 2012

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  1. Fall 2012 Meteorology 415Contest 2Nassau, bahamasOctober 25, 2012

  2. Nassau, BI Population - 2010 estimate 353,658[5] (177th) - 1990 census 254,685 - Density 23.27/km2 (181st) 60/sq mi

  3. OBS - Nassau • MYNN 251800Z 03017KT 9999 -RA SCT010 BKN035 OVC080 25/24 A2949= • MYNN 251900Z 02018KT 1600 +RA SCT010 BKN030 OVC080 24/23 A2947= • MYNN 251920Z 02015KT 9999 -RA BKN012 BKN035 OVC080 24/23 A2944= • MYNN 252000Z 02020KT 9999 -RA SCT012 BKN030 OVC080 25/23 A2943= • MYNN 252100Z 02021KT 6000 -RA BKN012 BKN030 OVC080 25/24 A2941= • MYNN 252200Z 02021KT 9000 -RA BKN012 BKN030 OVC080 25/23 A2939= • MYNN 252300Z 02023KT 9000 -RA BKN012 BKN030 OVC080 25/23 A2937= • MYNN 260000Z 02024KT 9000 -RA BKN012 BKN030 OVC080 26/24 A2936= • 78073 0z • (MYNN) 78073 11456 80204 10255 20239 40941 60221 76162 8682/ 333 0799/ • 10265 20200 59151 85812 86630 84858 90983=

  4. OBS - Nassau MYNN 260000Z 02024KT 9000 -RA BKN012 BKN030 OVC080 26/24 A2936= MYNN 260100Z 36028G38KT 9000 -RA BKN012 BKN030 OVC080 26/23 A2932= MYNN 260200Z 34031KT 9000 -RA BKN012 BKN030 OVC080 25/23 A2931= MYNN 260400Z 36030KT 8000 -RA BKN012 BKN030 OVC080 25/22 A2926= MYNN 260500Z 31015KT 9999 8000 -RA BKN012 BKN030 OVC080 25/22 A2926= MYNN 260600Z 31025KT 9999 -RA BKN012 BKN030 OVC080 25/22 A2924= MYNN 260800Z 27029KT 8000 -RA BKN012 BKN030 OVC080 25/21 A2921= MYNN 260900Z 27030KT 8000 -RA BKN012 BKN030 OVC080 25/21 A2920= MYNN 261000Z 27031G43KT 8000 BKN012 BKN035 OVC080 25/21 A2918 RMK RERA RE00= MYNN 261100Z 29024G37KT 9000 BKN012 BKN080 25/21 A2921= MYNN 261200Z 270407KT 9000 SCT014 BKN220 26/21 A2923=

  5. OBS - Nassau 78073 6z (MYNN) 78073 11461 83125 10251 20223 49902 69971 76166 8682/ 333 07999 59068 85812 86630 88458 90983= SYNOPT> 78073 12z (MYNN) 78073 11459 72740 10258 20213 49897 69901 70162 84876 333 0/999 10265 20200 59141 70439 83814 87272 90923=

  6. OBS - Nassau MYNN 261200Z 27040KT 9000 SCT014 BKN220 26/21 A2923= MYNN 261300Z 25018KT 9000 BKN014 BKN220 26/21 A2928= MYNN 261400Z 26022KT 9999 SCT015 BKN220 27/21 A2931= MYNN 261500Z 26024KT 9999 SCT015 BKN220 27/22 A2930= MYNN 261600Z 26024G34KT 9999 -SHRA BKN015 BKN220 25/22 A2931= MYNN 261700Z 26026KT 9000 -RA BKN015 BKN080 24/22 A2929= MYNN 261800Z 26030KT 9999 -RA BKN012 OVC080 24/22 A2930= 78073 18z (MYNN) 78073 11461 82730 10242 20221 49921 60011 76182 8587/ 333 0/99/ 59064 85812 88458 90931=

  7. Synoptic Pattern - Nassau

  8. Satellite - Nassau

  9. Upper Air - Nassau

  10. Guidance - Nassau

  11. Verification - Nassau

  12. Survey Scores - Nassau MOS continues to tumble in the rankings!

  13. Career Scores - Nassau

  14. Up close and personal

  15. Lessons Learned - Nassau • A TC passing west of a location (in the Tropics) generally does not produce as much rain or wind. • Very low ceilings are not common in the Tropics at sea level • The temperature change with the storm passage reflected some advection of air from the FL peninsula • Cb’s are a wild card with the TC’s.

  16. Weekly Winners - Survey

  17. Survey Path – Contest 2

  18. Fall 2012 Meteorology 415Contest 2cape hatteras, NCOctober 25, 2012

  19. Cape Hatteras, NC

  20. OBS – Cape Hatteras • KHSE 271751Z AUTO 04014G23KT 6SM -RA BR OVC100 20/18 A2957 RMK AO2 RAB1655 SLP014 • P0004 60027 T02000178 10211 20200 58032 TSNO= • KHSE 271851Z AUTO 05013G26KT 4SM -RA BR SCT034 BKN050 OVC100 20/18 A2956 RMK AO2 • PK WND 03026/1846 SLP009 P0005 T02000183 TSNO= • KHSE 271919Z AUTO 05013G21KT 2SM RA BR FEW027 BKN041 OVC049 20/18 A2955 RMK AO2 PK • WND 03026/1905 P0007 TSNO= • KHSE 271919Z AUTO 05013G21KT 2SM RA BR FEW027 BKN041 OVC049 20/18 A2955= • KHSE 271935Z AUTO 05015G23KT 4SM -RA BR FEW025 BKN047 OVC080 20/18 A2953= • KHSE 271935Z AUTO 05015G23KT 4SM -RA BR FEW025 BKN047 OVC080 20/18 A2953 RMK AO2 • PK WND 04027/1924 P0011 TSNO= • KHSE 271951Z AUTO 04014G23KT 5SM -RA BR FEW035 SCT055 OVC070 20/18 A2953 RMK AO2 • PK WND 04027/1924 SLP999 P0012 T02000183 TSNO= • KHSE 272043Z AUTO 04017G28KT 2 1/2SM RA BR FEW015 BKN060 OVC080 21/19 A2950 RMK • AO2 PK WND 02028/2043 P0006 TSNO • KHSE 272043Z AUTO 04017G28KT 2 1/2SM RA BR FEW015 BKN060 OVC080 21/19 A2950 RMK • AO2 PK WND 02028/2043 P0006 TSNO= • KHSE 272043Z AUTO 04017G28KT 2 1/2SM RA BR FEW015 BKN060 OVC080 21/19 A2950= • KHSE 272051Z AUTO 03013G28KT 2 1/2SM RA BR FEW013 BKN055 OVC080 21/19 A2950 RMK • AO2 PK WND 02028/2043 SLP988 P0007 60024 T02060189 58026 TSNO • KHSE 272051Z AUTO 03013G28KT 2 1/2SM RA BR FEW013 BKN055 OVC080 21/19 A2950 RMK • AO2 PK WND 02028/2043 SLP988 P0007 60024 T02060189 58026 TSNO=

  21. OBS – Cape Hatteras KHSE 272051Z AUTO 03013G28KT 2 1/2SM RA BR FEW013 BKN055 OVC080 21/19 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 02028/2043 SLP988 P0007 60024 T02060189 58026 TSNO= KHSE 272107Z AUTO 04015G28KT 1 3/4SM RA BR FEW033 BKN048 OVC070 20/18 A2949 RMK AO2 PK WND 04028/2101 P0006 TSNO KHSE 272107Z AUTO 04015G28KT 1 3/4SM RA BR FEW033 BKN048 OVC070 20/18 A2949= KHSE 272107Z AUTO 04015G28KT 1 3/4SM RA BR FEW033 BKN048 OVC070 20/18 A2949 RMK AO2 PK WND 04028/2101 P0006 TSNO= KHSE 272116Z AUTO 04014G28KT 2SM RA BR FEW035 BKN049 OVC085 20/19 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 03028/2109 P0010 TSNO= KHSE 272116Z AUTO 04014G28KT 2SM RA BR FEW035 BKN049 OVC085 20/19 A2950= KHSE 272129Z AUTO 03016G28KT 4SM -RA BR FEW033 BKN060 OVC075 20/18 A2950= KHSE 272129Z AUTO 03016G28KT 4SM -RA BR FEW033 BKN060 OVC075 20/18 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 03028/2129 P0011 TSNO= KHSE 272151Z AUTO 03017G31KT 4SM -RA BR FEW034 BKN060 OVC080 20/18 A2948 RMK AO2 PK WND 03031/2149 SLP983 P0013 T02000183 TSNO= KHSE 272223Z AUTO 03015G30KT 2 1/2SM +RA BR FEW007 BKN027 OVC045 20/18 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 03032/2204 P0006 TSNO KHSE 272223Z AUTO 03015G30KT 2 1/2SM +RA BR FEW007 BKN027 OVC045 20/18 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 03032/2204 P0006 TSNO= KHSE 272223Z AUTO 03015G30KT 2 1/2SM +RA BR FEW007 BKN027 OVC045 20/18 A2950= KHSE 272242Z AUTO 04018G33KT 3SM RA BR FEW009 BKN027 OVC045 20/18 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 03033/2233 P0015 TSNO= KHSE 272242Z AUTO 04018G33KT 3SM RA BR FEW009 BKN027 OVC045 20/18 A2950= KHSE 272258Z AUTO 04015G28KT 2 1/2SM +RA BR SCT010 BKN025 OVC060 20/19 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 04028/2256 P0003 TSNO KHSE 272251Z AUTO 03016G28KT 4SM RA BR SCT010 BKN030 OVC070 20/19 A2949 RMK AO2 PK WND 03033/2233 SLP986 P0016 T02000189 TSNO= KHSE 272258Z AUTO 04015G28KT 2 1/2SM +RA BR SCT010 BKN025 OVC060 20/19 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 04028/2256 P0003 TSNO= KHSE 272258Z AUTO 04015G28KT 2 1/2SM +RA BR SCT010 BKN025 OVC060 20/19 A2950=

  22. OBS - Cape Hatteras KHSE 272312Z AUTO 04015G32KT 3SM RA BR FEW007 BKN017 OVC060 20/19 A2950= KHSE 272312Z AUTO 04015G32KT 3SM RA BR FEW007 BKN017 OVC060 20/19 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 04032/2307 P0011 TSNO= KHSE 272327Z AUTO 04012G27KT 2SM +RA BR FEW007 BKN021 OVC032 20/19 A2949= KHSE 272327Z AUTO 04012G27KT 2SM +RA BR FEW007 BKN021 OVC032 20/19 A2949 RMK AO2 PK WND 04032/2307 P0017 TSNO= KHSE 272330Z AUTO 05012G24KT 1 1/2SM +RA BR FEW007 BKN013 OVC032 20/19 A2949 RMK AO2 PK WND 04032/2307 P0020 TSNO KHSE 272330Z AUTO 05012G24KT 1 1/2SM +RA BR FEW007 BKN013 OVC032 20/19 A2949 RMK AO2 PK WND 04032/2307 P0020 TSNO= KHSE 272330Z AUTO 05012G24KT 1 1/2SM +RA BR FEW007 BKN013 OVC032 20/19 A2949= KHSE 272339Z AUTO 06013G24KT 1 1/4SM +RA BR SCT005 BKN011 OVC034 21/19 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 04032/2307 P0043 TSNO KHSE 272339Z AUTO 06013G24KT 1 1/4SM +RA BR SCT005 BKN011 OVC034 21/19 A2950= KHSE 272339Z AUTO 06013G24KT 1 1/4SM +RA BR SCT005 BKN011 OVC034 21/19 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 04032/2307 P0043 TSNO= KHSE 272344Z AUTO 05014G27KT 2SM RA BR SCT005 BKN011 OVC034 20/19 A2950= KHSE 272344Z AUTO 05014G27KT 2SM RA BR SCT005 BKN011 OVC034 20/19 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 04032/2307 P0045 TSNO= KHSE 272347Z AUTO 06017G29KT 3SM RA BR BKN008 BKN022 OVC042 20/19 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 04032/2307 P0047 TSNO= KHSE 272347Z AUTO 06017G29KT 3SM RA BR BKN008 BKN022 OVC042 20/19 A2950=

  23. OBS - Cape Hatteras KHSE 281151Z AUTO 02020G37KT 2 1/2SM RA BR BKN009 BKN013 OVC020 18/17 A2931 RMK AO2 PK WND 02041/1119 SLP924 P0010 60159 70508 T01830172 10194 20178 58001 TSNO= KHSE 281511Z AUTO 01018G47KT 1 3/4SM RA BR OVC011 18/17 A2930 RMK AO2 PK WND 01047/1511 CIG 007V014 P0004 TSNO

  24. Synoptic Pattern - Cape Hatteras

  25. Radar – Cape Hatteras

  26. Satellite - Cape Hatteras

  27. Satellite – Cape Hatteras

  28. Upper Air - Cape Hatteras

  29. Guidance - Cape Hatteras

  30. Verification - Cape Hatteras

  31. Career Scores - Cape Hatteras

  32. Up close and personal

  33. Lessons Learned - Cape Hatteras • Gales and heavy rain are not that unusual at Cape Hatteras • Very high winds require a tighter pressure gradient and more appreciable pressure falls

  34. Weekly Winners - Career

  35. Career Path – Contest 2

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