Wellington NZAIA Forum By James Newell (MERA)

1. Impact Assessment Professionals : Who are We? Analysis of NZ Workforce Human Capital Trends in Resource Management Planning and Impact Assessment Related Occupations and Fields of Study Wellington NZAIA Forum By James Newell (MERA) 26th July 2005

2. Outline • What can we deduce from the Census of Population and Dwellings? • Presentation Context • First Impressions from the audience • Overall trends in educational attainment and employment growth by occupation • Quantifying Impact Assessment / Resource Management Planning • Case Study – Resource Management Planning Occupational Group 1981 – 2001 • Discussion

3. Who does Impact Assessment and who applies it? • My background? • 1st qualification biology/ecology (bachelor honours) • 2nd qualification – resource management and environmental science (including resource economics) (masters honours) • 3rd qualification –national, sectoral, regional and local planning (on the job - 20 years+) • Last 7-8 years - new custom statistical framework for trends in population, migration and employment / labour market participation • Last 2 years - “high resolution” 1981 to 2001 statistics on demography, occupations, industries, qualification level and field of study • These results have been helped by : • Taylor Baines Associates : PGSF Multiple Job Holding Research Programme • Department of Labour - Future of Work Project on 1991-2001 Occupational Workforce Case Studies • Min of Education 1981-2001 NZ human educ capital accumulation trends

4. Range of NZ Impact Assessment Practice (NZAIA, 1999)

5. Overview - Impact Assessment and Related Disciplines

6. Measurement of Human Capacity in Impact Assessment / Resource Management Planning

7. Resource Management Planning and Impact Assessment Related Disciplines? • Occupations (Industries?) • Currently mainly 3 digit level but this analysis goes to 5 digit • Field of Study of Highest Educational Qualification Level Attained • 4 digit needed to isolate urban and regional planning • Highest Educational Qualification Level Attained • Degree level qualification usually a prerequisite for IA / Resource Management professionals

8. Context What is the big picture – overall trends by Qualification Level, Occupation and Field of Study?

9. Highest Educational Qualification Level (%) 1981 to 2001

10. Intercensal Growth in Jobs by NZSEI Groupings of Occupations 1981 - 2001

11. Key Features of Occupational Change by NZSEI Gpings 1981 - 2001 • 1981 – 1986 : Highest growth High SEI and slightly lower growth lowest SEI • 1986 – 1991 : Highgrowth in High SEI and big decrease in low SEI • 1991 – 1996 : Across the boardhigh growth in all SEI • 1996 – 2001 : High growth in Medium - HighSEI and drop in lowest SEI

12. Change in Field of Study – 1981-1996 and 1996-2001 (Degree Only)

13. Impact Assessment and Resource Management?OccupationsHighest Degree Qualification Field

14. NZ Employment Trends in Selected Occupations 1976-2001

15. Old Classn NZSCO68

16. % Change in Jobs in Selected Occupations 1976-2001

17. Trends - Highest Degree Qualification – Field of Study (Level 4 NZSCED)

18. Employment Trends in the Resource Management Planners Occupational Group?

19. Resource Management Planners by Age Group 1981 to 2001

20. Net Recruitment of Resource Management Planners by Age Group 1981-1986 to 1996-2001

21. Net Recruitment of Male Resource Management Planners by Age Group 1981-1986 to 1996-2001

22. Net Recruitment of Female Resource Management Planners by Age Group 1981-1986 to 1996-2001

23. Percent of Resource Management Planners Female by Age Group 1981 to 2001

24. % of Resource Management Planners with a Degree by Age Group

25. Resource Management Planners by Ethnic Group

26. Resource Management Planners by Employment Status Group

27. Resource Management Planners by Industry Sector

28. Resource Management Planners by Birthplace

29. Resource Management Planners by Industry

30. Overall Comments • Climate has been one of large growth in high skill occupations throughout 1981-2001 – even when overall labour market is negative, static or slow • Resource Management Planners, Policy Analysts identifiable groups, impact assessment specialists and many of the “green dots” not able to be isolated as distinct occupations • Impact assessment / environmental science as a field of study not possible to be isolated (within the NZ Standard Classification of Educational Attainment Field of Study Classification – NZSCED) • Useful and coherent analysis at 5 digit occupation by 4 digit qualification field (not yet done) • Resource Management and Impact Assessment related fields are growing

31. Resource Management Planners (1) • Jobs Growth Rate • by 170% between 1976 and 2001 compared with growth of 22% in overall jobs • much higher than overall jobs over every intercensal period since 1976 • Recruitment usually from those under 30 years (new graduates) • except for 1996 to 2001 when some recruitment of 30 to 45 year olds

32. Resource Management Planners (2) • Gender Balance • Graduate Recruitment of men reducing and being replaced by higher graduate recruitment of women • Women grown from 28.1% of 25-29 year old planners in 1981 to 60% in 2001 • Degree qualification has been the norm for new entrants since 1981 and before • Proportion of non-european NZers dropped only slightly from 95.5% in 1981 to 90.5% in 1996 and then stayed stable

33. Resource Management Planners (3) • Most Res Mgmt Planners are FT Wage and Salary earners • Selfemployed, especially FT Self employed without employees grown in 1990’s especially between 1996 and 2001 • Most Res Mgmt Planners still employed in Local Govt but huge increase in private sector employment between 1996 and 2001 • Most employed in Local Gvt Admin but big increase in employment in Land Surveying, Agricultural, Forestry and Logging etc. industries between 1996 and 2001 • Most Res Mgmt Planners NZ born – appears to have increased slightly between 1976 and 1996 then plateaued