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Admissions Trends and Behaviours

Admissions Trends and Behaviours. Andrea Johnson Head of UK Recruitment & Admissions Plymouth University Ian Blenkharn Head of Recruitment & Admissions University of Exeter. Contents. 2012 cycle so far Deferrals – who’s in and who’s not… To AAB or not to AAB 2013 cycle Horizon scanning

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Admissions Trends and Behaviours

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  1. Admissions Trends and Behaviours Andrea JohnsonHead of UK Recruitment & Admissions Plymouth University Ian BlenkharnHead of Recruitment & AdmissionsUniversity of Exeter

  2. Contents • 2012 cycle so far • Deferrals – who’s in and who’s not… • To AAB or not to AAB • 2013 cycle • Horizon scanning • Fair access • Contextual data • Summary

  3. 2012…to date • UCAS applications down 7.4% (15 Jan) • Little change on 15 October deadline • Trend for later applications – more research? • Seems to be a shift towards subjects with a more ‘vocational’ focus Source: UCAS

  4. Plymouth Picture • UCAS applications in line with the UCAS national picture, and significantly up on 2010. • Much later application behaviour • Subject growth vocational and societal

  5. Exeter Picture • UCAS applications exactly in line with 2011 – although slightly higher quality • Growth areas mainly in Science/Engineering/Law

  6. Deferral behaviour • UCAS applications don’t give the whole picture • Fewer deferrals for 2012 entry from 2011 as a result of higher fees • Deferral rates from 2012 to 2013 back to ‘normal’ – therefore a bigger net reduction in applications per place in 2012 • Unclear as to how all of this will affect pressure for places at Clearing/Confirmation/Adjustment

  7. To AAB or not to AAB... • New ‘Core and Margin’ model fundamentally changes the admissions process for HEIs • HEFCE/Government have not used a comprehensive equivalency model for AAB+ • HEIs need to ensure fairness, transparency and consistency

  8. Horizon scanning • 2013 cycle • UCAS Admissions Process Review • Proposals for 2014 and 2016

  9. 2013 cycle • Advice & guidance difficulties – although less than for 2012 • Fee rates / student support packages won’t be confirmed until July(?) • Will ‘core and margin’ threshold be lowered to ABB for 2013 entry?

  10. Admissions Review

  11. Admissions Review • UCAS Admissions Process Review • GTTR Review • UCAS Tariff

  12. UCAS APR • Consultation closed on 27 January • Two models • Modifications for 2014 • PQA for 2016 (or later) • Reduce pressure point of clearing • Re-establish ‘fairness’

  13. Admissions UCAS Review • 2014 ‘Modifications’ • UCAS Process improvements • Same number of choices • Clearer deadlines and timeframes • Future of insurance choice • Compulsory gathered field • Offer release date • Managed ‘Clearing’ commencing after A level results • New terminology and labelling

  14. Admissions UCAS Review • 2016 Model • Full PQA; apply with known results • Two choices • Earliest possible 2016/2018 • Subject of much debate

  15. UCAS Tariff • Expected to have reached end of its life by 2014 entry • Return to grades • Clarity of entry requirements/grade requirements

  16. Fees and Funding

  17. Simple messages • No fees paid upfront, costs covered by a loan • Loans repaid at £21k earnings threshold • Real rate of interest – RPI plus up to 3% • Fees charged up to £9k (plus a bit for 2013) • Grant support available – income threshold of £42k • National Scholarships programme • Institutional scholarships/bursaries

  18. Fair Access - Exeter • Confusion between ‘Fair Access’ and ‘Widening Participation’ • Milburn’s ‘Fair Access to the Professions’ – particular focus on research intensive / selective institutions • Fair Access primarily focused on admissions and assessing potential (Hoare, 2010)

  19. Contextual data • What is it!? • Additional information to aid and support the decision making process and improve inclusivity • Evidence based judgement • Applicants may not be treated in exactly the same way as different factors maybe be considered, all applicants are individuals with different backgrounds.

  20. Educational factors • School/college progression rates • School performance at GCSE • Progression from year 11 to FE • Average QCA points per qualification

  21. Personal factors • Disability • Ethnicity • Age/experience (eg Mature Students)

  22. Socio-economic factors • In receipt of free school meals • Living in a low progression neighbourhood • Socio-economic class IIM-VII • In care for longer than three months

  23. Plymouth’s use of contextual data • Not actively collecting or using at present • Confidence in our admissions policy that we are inclusive in our approach and constitution

  24. Exeter’s use of contextual data • Very much focused on educational factors: See http://www.exeter.ac.uk/undergraduate/applications/policy/ • Evidence-based approach, reviewed annually • Part of our holistic assessment of an applicant’s potential to succeed

  25. Summary • Turbulent times continue • Unknown impact of reforms on Clearing/Confirmation/Adjustment for 2012 entry and beyond

  26. Questions? ?????????????????????????????????????????????

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