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UKRAINE - Food and Nutrition Security Analysis VAM Unit UKCO. Macro Economic Overview.
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Macro Economic Overview • Ukraine is food surplus nation, food availability is not a concern in most of the country. However, household economic constraints related to the unrest continue to threaten food security in conflict-affected areas. • Additionally, food prices are increasing at a time when household incomes are impacted by substantial unemployment and a reliance on savings. At the same time, the economy is undergoing a political and economic crisis resulting in the decline of GDP growth rates, decline of foreign investments, increase of government debt, and the significant devaluation of its national currency. • http://vam.wfp.org/CountryPage_Indicators.aspx?iso3=UKR&p=ei
Share of Income on Food http://ieconomics.com/food-inflation-highest
Food Security Eastern Ukraine “The overall food insecurity is comparable to the previous assessment (March 2015) in the Eastern Ukraine. Worth noting that the severity of food insecurity has moderated in the non-government controlled areas, which may be attributed to the humanitarian assistance provided by various agencies including WFP, as well as relatively calm civil security situation.” Food Security and Vulnerability Assessment - October 2015
Percentage of HHs by consumption of Protein, Vit A and Hem iron rich foods
Households’ access to food • Around 65% of the respondents in both GCA and NGCA indicated complete loss or significant reduction of income. • In average only 2.5% of the households in both GCA and NGCA expected the situation to improve. • Lack of employment opportunities and high prices of food continue to significantly affect households’ ability to access food more so in NGCA.
reduced Copying Strategies The most typical coping strategies include: • rely on less preferred and/or less expensive food due to lack of food or money to buy food • applied by 78% of households • limit portion sizes applied by 47% and • reduce the number of meals eaten in a day applied by 44%
Who are the food-insecure people? • IDPs living in collective centers (around 35% found with severe and borderline FCS) • Women headed households and single women living aloneparticularly those adopting negative copying mechanism. Luhansk NGCA region seems to be much more affected in this regard. • Families with more children and children with different vulnerabilities/disabilities (invalids, orphans, etc.). • Elderly people • Unemployed and households with decreased levels of income • HHs with damaged houses • Additional factors of vulnerability are type of settlement – middle size cities.
Recommendations • Targeting criteria: simplify the shift /changes in priorities. Some of the characteristics may be transitory (e.g. unemployed), while others are static (e.g. women headed household). There can be different response options such as: provide regular food assistance to the severely food insecure while for others (e.g. returnees/newly displaced) assist the population until their food security situation changes (e.g. start to receive the government social safety-nets, find job, etc. • Support to undernutrition among children: Give priority and support families with more children among 0 – 24 months. • Geographical Coverage: Luhansk seems much more affected and less covered by food security partners.
Recommendations • Choice of Modality: Encourage implementation of market based interventions also in NGCA (i.e. Luhansk NGCA) where markets are functional (mainly semi and urban settlements). Rural areas might still need to be supported through food in-kind. • Consider Purchase For Progress (P4P): Local authorities have indicated need for provision of fresh vegetables and fruits to schools. • Value of voucher/cash: Take into consideration increased prices of food and utilities in GCA especially during the winter period. • Partners: Explore opportunity to extend cooperation among partners in food and nutrition security. Close coordination with others (expanding field movement; Using reports OCHA/RAF/ICRC/.