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Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia

Post Deyr 10/11. Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia. January 2011. Information for Better Livelihoods. Central. Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation SDC. EUROPEAN COMMISSION. Deyr 2010/11 Seasonal Assessment Coverage Field Access and Field Data Locations .

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Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia

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  1. Post Deyr 10/11 Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia January 2011 Information for Better Livelihoods Central Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation SDC EUROPEAN COMMISSION

  2. Deyr 2010/11 Seasonal Assessment Coverage Field Access and Field Data Locations • Partial access in all livelihoods (Addun, Hawd, Cowpea and Coastal) • In areas which could not be accessed by the assessment team, the information was collected by FSNAU Field Analysts through teleconferencing with enumerators and key informants.

  3. Main Livelihood Groups Sources of Food and Income Livelihood Zones • Livelihood Groups & Main Sources of Food and Income • 3 Pastoral Livelihoods (Hawd, Addun, Coastal Deeh Pastoralists) • Primary sources of income of poor: sale of livestock, livestock products, bush product and kinship support • Primary sources of food of poor: purchase, and food aid • Primary livelihood asset of poor: camel, sheep/goat • Central Agro pastoral Livelihood: Sheep & Goats, Camel, Cattle (South Mudug, Galgadud). Farm size is 3-4 Ha and mostly reserved for own fodder use. Cowpea Agropastoral is predominantly pastoral. Main sources of income: sale of livestock, livestock products and bush product sales. Main source of food: purchase and food gifts

  4. Climate Performance of the Deyr 2010/11Rainfall • Overall Statement: Deyr rainfall has failed completely in most areas. However, some pockets in Hawd, Addun and Cowpea Belt received a few days of light showers • Start of Season: The rains started with a few days of light showers between 1st and 2nd Dekad of October • Temporal and Spatial Distribution: Very localized, few days of showers in early October followed by a long dry spell in the following period up to the end of the season

  5. Climate Vegetation Conditions

  6. Civil Insecurity • Civil Security Situation • Continuous armed clashes between opposing parties; • Resource based conflicts in rural settlements of Hobyo, Adado and Abudwak; • Security worsened in chronic conflict centers of Dhusamareb and Guricel and is likely to spread into new zones; • Increased marine piracy attacks with more hijackings of cargo ships for ransom • Direct and Indirect Impacts on Food Security & Nutrition • Human death and causalities of active workforce and displacement • Population displacement • Limited humanitarian access and provision of humanitarian assistance to people in crisis • Disruption of trade and income earning activities Source: FSNAU & Protection Cluster

  7. Agriculture Deyr 2010/11 Crop Production Estimates

  8. Agriculture Deyr 2010/11 Assessment Photos Failure of cowpea crop harvest in Hobyo, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10 Failure of cowpea crop harvest in Haradere, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10 Sorghum production in Elder, Dec.09

  9. Agriculture Deyr 2010/11 Local Cereal Flow

  10. Agriculture Regional Trends in Cereal Prices & Terms of Trade Regional Trend in Cereal Prices (Sorghum) Regional Trends in Terms of Trade: ( 5kg of sorghum /daily wage)

  11. Livestock • Rangeland Conditions • and Livestock Migration, • Deyr 2010/11 • Abnormal migration of livestock to Hawd and parts of Addun pastoral, whcih have relatively better pasture and water as a result of near normal rains in October and good Gu 2010 rains • Depletion of pasture/water in the Coastal Deeh, Cowpea Belt and most parts of Addun • Death of small ruminants in Coastal Deeh, Cowpea Belt and parts in Addun • Deteriorating livestock body condition in Hawd and parts of Addun

  12. Livestock SectorTrends in Livestock Holdings and Milk Production

  13. Livestock Regional Trends in Local Goat Prices & Terms of Trade Regional Trend in Goat Local Quality Prices (SoSh) Regional Trend in Terms of Trade: local quality goat/cereal (50kg of sorghum per head of goat)

  14. Livestock Deyr 2010 Assessment Photos Skinned goat/sheep, Hobyo, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10 Water trucking, Wisil, Hobyo, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10 Water trucking, Herale, Abudwak, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10 Abnormal migration from Mataban, Dusamareb, Galgadud, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10

  15. Livestock Deyr 2010/11 Assessment Photos Emaciated Livestock Body Condition, Haradhere Addun Pastoral, Mudug, Dec. ’10 Hand fed Sheep, Eldhere Village, Hobyo, Mudug, Dec. 10 Weak Pack camel, Gawan village, Hobyo Mudug, Dec. ‘10 Livestock Destocking, Dumaye Village, Haradheere, Mudug, Dec. ‘10

  16. Markets Trends in Imported Commodity Prices • Slight increase in prices for some of the monitored import commodities (last six months) • Factors Affecting Commercial Import Prices: • Shortage in locally produced cereal supplies • Cessation of food aid distribution • Ban on commercial food aid • Poor market accessibility due to poor road infrastructure

  17. NutritionSummary of Nutrition Findings

  18. Nutrition Summary of Nutrition Situation Maps Nutrition Situation Estimates Jul 2010 Nutrition Situation Estimates Jan 2011

  19. IPCSummary:Progression of Rural IPC Situation MAP 1: IPC Gu 2010 MAP 2: IPC Deyr 2010/11 MAP 3: LIVELIOOD ZONES • Key IPC Reference Outcomes: Hawd: HE Watch – HE 25% Poor, AFLC 75% Poor; Addun: HE Watch - HE 50% Poor, AFLC 50% Poor; Cowpea belt: HE Watch – HE 100% Poor; AFLC 100% Middle; Coastal Deeh: HE Watch – 25% Poor are destitute, HE 100% Poor, AFLC: 50% middle; SIP - HE 75% Poor, AFLC 25% Poor, 50% Middle • Acute malnutrition: Serious in Hawd and Addun; likely Critical in Cowpea Belt and likely sustained Critical in Cowpea Belt • Food Access: Severe entitlement gap, unable to meet 2,100 Kcal ppp day • Water Access: Average of 6.6 ltrs ppp day ( human usage only) • Destitution/Displacement: Concentrated and increasing (e.g. Galgadud and south Mudug) • Coping: Distress strategies and increasing in Hawd and Addun • Livelihood Assets: Near complete & irreversible depletion or loss of assets in Coastal Deeh and Cowpea Belt livelihoods • Main Contributing Factors: • Very poor Deyr rainfall received in most areas • Limited options for livestock outmigration • Decline in livestock production & reproduction and decreased conception rates • Total cowpea crop failure in agropastoral of Central • Market disruption due to escalating insecurity in the region • Increased cereal prices

  20. IPCEstimated Rural Population in AFLC & HE by Districts

  21. IPCEstimated Rural Population in AFLC & HE by Livelihood Zone

  22. IPCEstimated Urban Population in AFLC & HE by District

  23. The End

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