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Cycles Beyond Demographics

Cycles Beyond Demographics. presented by Harry S. Dent, Jr. . (2009). (1993). 34-36 Year Geopolitical Cycle Dow Industrials. 29-30 Year Commodity Price Cycle CRB Index (PPI before 1947) 1913-2040. 2039-40. 2008-10. 1980. 1949-1951. 1920. Source: Bloomberg.

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Cycles Beyond Demographics

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  1. Cycles Beyond Demographics presented by Harry S. Dent, Jr. (2009) (1993)

  2. 34-36 Year Geopolitical CycleDow Industrials

  3. 29-30 Year Commodity Price CycleCRB Index (PPI before 1947) 1913-2040 2039-40 2008-10 1980 1949-1951 1920 Source: Bloomberg

  4. Decennial Pattern Since 1900Dow Industrials - Average 10-Year Decennial PatternWeekly Data 1/6/1900-12/31/1999 Source: Ned Davis Research, www.ndr.com

  5. Four-Year Presidential Cycle 4th Presidential Year 1st Presidential Year 2nd Presidential Year 3rd Presidential Year Source: Ned Davis Research, www.ndr.com

  6. 500-Year Mega Innovation Cycles

  7. The Spending WaveActual and Trendline Source: HS Dent

  8. The Spending Wave and the Decennial Cycle Source: HS Dent

  9. The Decennial and 4-Year Cycles Source: HS Dent

  10. 24-Month, 40-Month and Decennial Cycle Source: Richard Mogey - Foundation for the Study of Cycles, Inc

  11. The Three BubblesDow Head-and-Shoulders Pattern H S S Source: Yahoo Finance

  12. Estimate of the President’s Budget Source: Congressional Budget Office Presidential Budget

  13. Federal Budget Estimatesby Major Categories ($ Millions) Source: HS Dent

  14. Projected Federal Deficit for 2020at Varying Revenue Levels ($ Billions) Source: Congressional Budget Office Presidential Budget, HS Dent

  15. Total US Debt Obligations Total US Debt $56 trn + Unfunded Federal Liabilities $46 trn = Total Debt Obligations $102 trn 7 x GDP !!!

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