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ADVERTISING, PR, SELLING. 15.823 Internet marketing Prof. Glen L. Urban Spring 2001. OUTLINE. Historical Perspective Advertising Copy How Much to Spend on Advertising Acquisition/Retention Modeling Role of PR and Selling. HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE. TV Model 1950’s
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ADVERTISING, PR, SELLING 15.823 Internet marketing Prof. Glen L. Urban Spring 2001
OUTLINE • Historical Perspective • Advertising Copy • How Much to Spend on Advertising • Acquisition/Retention Modeling • Role of PR and Selling
HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE • TV Model 1950’s • 1960s - 80s -- Stable Media Mix • 1990’s • Interactive TV • Internet Banners • Push Marketing • Internet 2000 • Eye Ball Race -- Print/TV/Banners • Click Through Rates Down • Personalized Ads -- Streaming Video • Current - 2001 • Multi-Channel • Customer Life Time Value • Rich Media
APPROACHES • All You Can Afford • Match Competition • Sales Goal - Short Run - Long Run Share • Profit (Loss Goal) • Reach and Frequency Goals • Response - Sales/Profits -functions -flow model
RESPONSE ANALYSIS Ask what you are getting for your $ Marginal response -- profit -- sales -- customer acquisition
Slide #1 SIMPLE FLOW MODEL UNAWARE .33 AWARE .33 VISIT SITE .03 BUY .75 LOYALTY
MODEL EXTENSIONS • Depth of Repeat • Multi-period • Competition • Additional Variables
SALES REVENUE PROFIT BEFORE ADVERTISING DOLLARS PROFIT AFTER ADVERTISING ADVERTISING SALES RESPONSE -- MAXIMIZE PROFIT
SALES * DOLLARS PROFIT BEFORE ADVERTISING * * PROFIT AFTER ADVERTISING A ADVERTISING 0 WHAT WE KNOW
ESTIMATION JUDGMENT STATISTICS - Sale History - Nielsen - Click Stream EXPERIMENTATION
ROLE OF SELLING • Still need • Complex System Design • Big price • B2B • Communication Mix
FUNCTIONAL SUBSTITUTION ADVERTISING ADVERTISING AWARENESS SELLING SELLING PERCEPTION SELLING PREFERENCE PURCHASE
NEW METHODS INTERNET TELEMARKETING ADVERTISING AWARENESS TELEMARKETING PERCEPTION TELEMARKETING SELLING SELLING PREFERENCE SELLING PURCHASE
NEW METHODS TELEMARKETING ADVERTISING AWARENESS TELEMARKETING PERCEPTION SELLING SELLING PREFERENCE PURCHASE
NEW METHODS PR AWARENESS INTERNET PERCEPTION TELEMARKETING PREFERENCE SELLING PURCHASE
PR • “Free” ads - actually many pay - invest in PR (“marketing”) staff • Believability • Word of Mouth Transfer -- Community
INTEGRATION • Behavioral Flow Model • CLTV Model
IMPLICATIONS • Advertising Goals (budget & copy) • Will Increasingly Become Response • Acquisition Modeling and Loyalty • Communication Mix - advertising / PR - multi-channel selling
ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLE SIZE OF MARKET 10,000 NUMBER OF SEGMENTS 5 PRICE OF PRODUCT $ 16,000 CONTRIBUTION MARGIN $ 5,000 FIXED COST $750,000 COSTS ONE AD $ 30,000 COST OF PERSONAL VISIT $ 125 COSTS OF ONE TELESELL $ 37.50 ADVERTISING REACH 1 AD .1 10 ADS .65 FRACTION READ AD .5
MODEL RESOURCES ADVERTISING PERSONAL SELLING TELEMARKETING MODEL SEGMENT N SEGMENT 1 SEGMENT 2 AWARENESS AWARENESS AWARENESS REQUEST REQUEST REQUEST RECOMMEND RECOMMEND RECOMMEND PURCHASE PURCHASE PURCHASE OUTPUT SALES SALES / CALL PROFIT PROFIT / CALL
BASE - ALL SELLING SALES FORCE SIZE 28 NUMBER OF CALLS / YEAR 22,000 TOTAL SALES ($) 13,984,000 COMMUNICATION BUDGET ($) 2,750,000 PROFIT ($) 870,000 PROFIT / CALL 39.55
SELLING ALLOCATION PERSONAL SELLING + ADVERTISING + TELEMARKETING COLD CALLS (PERSONAL) 2 2 0 0 0 1200 CALLS (TELESELL) 2 2 0 0 0 SEGMENT 1 2 3 4 5 ALL SELL 4 4 2 1 0 FOLLOW UP “PRESOLD”
ALL BEST BEST WITH SELL WITH ADS TELEMARKETING NUMBER OF ADS - 7 - NUMBER PERSONAL CALLS 22,000 20,140 11,040 NUMBER TELESELL - - 29,200 TOTAL SALES 13,984 14,056 20,710 COMMUNICATION BUDGET 2,750 2,727 2,475 PROFIT 870 915 3,215 PROFIT/PERSONAL CALL 40 45 291 PROFIT / COMMUNICATION BUDGET .32 .34 1.30 PROFIT PER HOUR OF TOTAL SELLING EFFORT 1.97 2.20 8.76 SALES PER HOUR OF TOTAL SELLING EFFORT 316 348 560